James Carville on 2024 Election: "A Long Way From Decided"
Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville has weighed in on the 2024 White House race, emphasizing that the contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is still far from over. In a recent appearance on CNN, Carville, known for his role in President Bill Clinton’s 1992 campaign, was asked by host Michael Smerconish why Harris isn’t further ahead in the race, despite positive economic indicators like strong job growth and a robust stock market. Smerconish referenced Carville’s famous line, "It’s the economy, stupid," pointing out that the economy seems to be in good shape.
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Carville responded by noting that the public discourse often overlooks additional achievements like the falling crime rates. Despite these positive factors, he acknowledged that while Harris holds a slight lead, the election itself remains highly uncertain. According to Carville, the outcome of the race will likely be determined by the swing states, which are expected to play a crucial role in deciding the next president. He mentioned that while political pundits may focus on a neck-and-neck race, he believes the swing states will ultimately break in favor of one candidate—either 5-2 or 6-1.
What makes Carville’s perspective noteworthy is his caution against making premature conclusions. While national polls may show Harris leading by 3.4 percentage points, Carville emphasized that we’re still a long way from a final decision. He explained that these races tend to break late, and swing states, with their complex and diverse electorates, can shift the tide in the final moments.
In September, Carville expressed his personal belief that Harris is positioned to win the election, though he was careful to frame this as a "feeling" rather than a prediction. As the campaign continues to evolve, Carville’s comments serve as a reminder that the race is highly dynamic, and there’s plenty of time for significant changes before Election Day. His message is clear: despite the current landscape, the 2024 election is still a wide-open contest.
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