A Cool and Active Week Ahead with Rain and Thunderstorms
As we step into the first days of April, we’re in for a cool yet active week of weather. The forecast shows several opportunities for rain and thunderstorms as a storm system pushes across the region, starting with some light showers today. While we can expect a variety of weather conditions, the most significant action will come later this week with stronger storms and winds.
Starting today, Monday, March 31st, the skies will be partly to mostly cloudy, with a mix of sunshine in the eastern areas and more cloud coverage in the west. While the day remains relatively mild compared to the past few days, it will still be cooler than average. Temperatures will range from the mid 40s in the northwest to the mid 50s in the south and east. We might see a few stray flurries or light snowflakes in Western Nebraska, but there won’t be much accumulation. Further east, sprinkles may occur as temperatures warm throughout the day. Winds will be light in the morning but will begin to shift southeastward later in the day, with stronger gusts expected in the west by the afternoon.
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The evening brings more rain, primarily focused on the western areas, which will gradually move eastward. Light rain showers could come with a few flashes of lightning, although the heaviest rain will likely stay in the northern half of Nebraska. Temperatures will remain warm enough to prevent snow, with lows in the upper 30s and low 40s. Southeast winds will continue to strengthen overnight, setting the stage for a stronger storm system moving in tomorrow.
Tuesday looks to be the most active day of the week, with a stronger storm system pushing through. Expect gusty southeast winds, ranging from 15 to 30 mph, with gusts potentially reaching 35 to 45 mph. The temperatures will rise into the 50s and 60s, and North Central Kansas could even see temperatures near 70°F. While there is some uncertainty about where thunderstorms will develop, mid-to-late afternoon is when storms are expected to fire up. The dry line will play a role in determining where these storms form, potentially anywhere between Highway 83 and Highway 281.
The chances of severe thunderstorms are present, but instability in the atmosphere won’t be exceptionally high, with dew points only reaching the low 50s. This means that while the risk for severe storms is there, it will be moderate, with the main threats being large hail and strong wind gusts. Tornado development is unlikely, though a slight chance remains for Southeast Nebraska. By midnight, most of the storm activity will be moving eastward, and the region will start to clear out.
As the storm system exits on Wednesday, cooler air will follow, but more chances for rain will arise later in the week. Thursday and Friday both look to bring showers, with potential snow mixed in over the western parts of the area, depending on temperatures. It will be significantly cooler by the end of the week, with highs in the 40s and 50s, and Saturday may even see temperatures drop into the 40s.
Despite the unsettled weather, Sunday looks drier, and temperatures will begin to warm again. The second week of April should bring a more pleasant, dry forecast, with temperatures rising into the 60s and 70s. For now, enjoy the active weather of the upcoming week, and stay tuned for updates as things continue to develop!
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