Israel Plans Solo Strike on Iran Amid U.S. Refusal to Join
In the latest turn of high-stakes diplomacy and escalating tensions in the Middle East, a dramatic development has captured global attention: the United States has reportedly informed Israel that it will not participate in any military strike against Iran. According to Axios journalist Barak Ravid, this decision was communicated clearly—if Israel proceeds with a military operation targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities, it will be doing so unilaterally. This is not going to be a joint mission with the U.S., marking a significant shift in strategic posture.
The backdrop of this potential conflict is the slow collapse of nuclear negotiations between Iran and the United States. With the diplomatic window closing rapidly, the threat of military action is becoming more tangible. Former U.S. President Donald Trump, whose influence still looms large, stated that an Israeli attack “may happen soon,” though he stopped short of confirming its imminence. Trump emphasized he does not want war but insisted that Iran must offer concessions it has yet to make.
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Importantly, these remarks were not coordinated with Israeli officials. In fact, Israel had previously assured the White House that it would refrain from military action as long as negotiations were ongoing. But that assurance may no longer hold. Israel, lacking the advanced bomber capabilities of the U.S.—like B-2s and B-52s capable of delivering bunker-busting munitions—would have to conduct more limited and repeated strikes to hit heavily fortified sites such as Fordow.
Iran, for its part, has issued strong warnings. A senior Iranian security official stated that any aggression from Israel or the U.S. would be met with a swift and surprise counterattack. Iran claims to be at its highest level of military readiness and recently revealed successful tests of heavy warhead missiles. There is also talk of significant intelligence gains against Israeli targets, enhancing Iran’s capacity to retaliate effectively.
Meanwhile, the U.S. has begun pulling diplomats and military families out of high-risk areas in the region, and the Pentagon canceled the planned visit of General Michael Kurilla to Israel. These actions are deliberate signals aimed at avoiding the perception of direct involvement or endorsement of a potential Israeli strike.
This unfolding crisis hinges now on a final diplomatic attempt: a meeting in Oman between U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, scheduled for Sunday. The outcome could be decisive. Either diplomacy is salvaged at the last minute, or the region inches closer to a military confrontation with unpredictable and far-reaching consequences.
As it stands, the world watches tensely. One misstep, one miscommunication, or one missile could transform this standoff into a full-blown regional war.
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