Vladdy Leads the Charge as Blue Jays Set Their Sights on the Yankees
Hey folks, let’s talk about one of the most electric matchups in the AL East right now: the Toronto Blue Jays taking on the New York Yankees. This isn’t just any regular-season series — this four-game set starting June 30 has massive implications for the division standings. The Jays are riding some serious momentum, winning 19 of their last 29 games. That streak has pulled them within just three games of the division-leading Yankees. And now, with the Bronx Bombers coming to town, Toronto has a golden opportunity to close that gap.
Let’s dive into the big storylines. First and foremost: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. He’s been red-hot lately and is absolutely locked in at the plate. Over his last 10 games, Vladdy is slashing .317 with a 1.123 OPS, four homers, and 10 RBIs. That’s the kind of fire you want when you’re facing a team like the Yankees. And here’s where it gets even better — he’s got a great track record against tonight’s starter, Carlos Rodón.
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Rodón has been solid this season, but Guerrero has had his number in the past. In just 15 plate appearances against him, Vladdy has gone 8-for-12 with a double, a homer, and three walks. That works out to an absurd .417 expected batting average and a .666 expected slugging percentage. Not to mention, Guerrero crushes lefties — batting .343 with a .980 OPS against southpaws this year.
And it’s not just Vladdy. Ernie Clement has quietly been mashing left-handed pitching, hitting an insane .425 with a 1.185 OPS against them. With both of these guys locked in, the Blue Jays offense looks ready to pounce.
On the mound, it’s Max Scherzer for New York, making just his second start since returning from the IL. He struck out four in five innings against Cleveland in his last outing, and the Jays are likely to test his stamina early. The Yankees haven’t exactly been dominating right-handed pitching lately — they rank 18th in OPS and have one of the highest strikeout rates in the league against righties this month. That bodes well for Scherzer’s strikeout prop, but it also hints that Toronto’s hitters could wear him down quickly.
Tonight’s parlay is juicy: Guerrero over 1.5 total bases, Clement over 1.5 total bases, and Scherzer over 4.5 strikeouts — all for a nice +525. It’s aggressive, sure, but with the way these hitters are swinging and Scherzer still ramping up, it’s got a real shot.
Bottom line — this isn’t just another regular season game. It’s a statement opportunity. The Jays are surging, their stars are delivering, and the Yankees better be ready. First pitch goes out at 7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre. Let’s see if Toronto can take one step closer to the top of the East.
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