Naomi Osaka Set to Shine at US Open Against Greet Minnen
Hey everyone, let’s talk about the buzz surrounding Naomi Osaka at the US Open. The spotlight is firmly on her as she gears up for her first-round match against Greet Minnen, and there’s a lot of anticipation about which version of Osaka will show up on the court this time.
Osaka has had a bit of a rollercoaster stretch recently. She suffered a tough loss in the final at the Omnium Banque Nationale in Canada, falling to underdog Victoria Mboko. But the US Open is a different story for her. This is a tournament where she has previously found tremendous success, having lifted the trophy twice already—in 2018 and 2020. That history alone sets high expectations for her performance.
In terms of odds, Osaka is considered the heavy favorite. Betting lines have her at -1100, giving her an implied win probability of roughly 91.7%. That’s a huge advantage on paper, and it reflects the respect her game still commands, especially on hard courts, where her power and precision have historically been most effective. But it’s also worth noting that Osaka hasn’t gone past the third round at the US Open in the last four years, despite maintaining a strong overall win rate of 79% at this Slam. So while she is favored, she’s not invincible, and the mental side of her game will play a key role.
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Greet Minnen, her opponent, has had some notable performances at this tournament in the past, reaching the third round twice and holding a 50% win rate at Flushing Meadows. While she might seem like the underdog, Minnen is certainly capable of testing Osaka if the Japanese star struggles to find her rhythm. The two have only met once before, back at the 2024 Madrid Open, where Osaka won decisively in straight sets. That experience might give Osaka a confidence edge, but upsets are always possible in tennis, particularly when mental toughness comes into play.
Analysts and tennis writers are predicting that Osaka is likely to win in two sets, but the conversation is far from settled. Fans and commentators alike are curious to see whether her new coaching setup and her drive to recapture past form will translate into a dominant performance on the court.
So, as the first round approaches, all eyes will be on Osaka—not just because of her skill and history, but because her journey at this year’s US Open will be closely watched by everyone who’s rooting for a story of resurgence and determination. This matchup against Minnen promises to be exciting, and it will be fascinating to see whether Osaka can remind the world why she’s a two-time US Open champion.
This is a moment where history and present form collide, and the tennis world will be watching every serve and every rally. Naomi Osaka is once again the player to watch.
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