Canada’s Fall 2025 Forecast Promises a Mild Start, but Winter Looms
As we step into fall 2025, the big question is whether this season will give us a gentle pause between the extremes of summer and the inevitable arrival of winter—or if it will pull us quickly into icy territory. The Weather Network’s latest outlook shows that this autumn could turn out to be a season of contrasts, with an extended stretch of mild conditions early on, followed by a sharper transition later.
The changeover from summer to fall has already been dramatic. Central Canada has seen early blasts of cold air, even breaking some records, while western Canada has dealt with record-breaking heat. These swings highlight just how turbulent fall can be. But for now, most Canadians can look forward to a stretch of comfortable, above-normal temperatures from mid-September into October. That means fewer storms than usual, plenty of sunshine, and time to enjoy the vibrant fall colours.
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This calmer weather, however, isn’t expected to last through the entire season. As November approaches, the atmosphere will likely become more unsettled. Patterns suggest that western Canada will be the first to feel the shift into colder-than-normal conditions, while eastern regions should hold onto mild weather a little longer. But by the time November ends, most of the country will be nudged toward an early taste of winter.
When it comes to precipitation, most regions will see fewer storms than usual through October. There are exceptions, though. The B.C. coast should prepare for heavy, moisture-packed systems that could bring excessive rain, while northern Canada will steadily make its transition into snow and ice. Meanwhile, Atlantic Canada faces some uncertainty. After a very dry summer, the region could remain drier than normal, unless the remnants of tropical systems swing through and boost rainfall totals closer to average.
Looking at the provinces more closely, British Columbia’s warmth will linger into late September, though wildfire risks remain a concern. The rainy season should start on schedule in October, and ski areas are expected to open without major delays. Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba will enjoy mild stretches through October, perfect for harvest and outdoor activities, but November is likely to flip the script with cold, stormier conditions. Ontario and Quebec will also see mild, calm weather dominating the early season, making it a great time for leaf-peeping, but a more active pattern will settle in by November. The Atlantic provinces—Newfoundland, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, and P.E.I.—are expected to enjoy a gentler fall with above-normal warmth, though moisture from a rogue tropical system could change the rainfall story. And in the North, mild conditions will linger early on before snow, ice, and seasonal cold re-establish themselves.
So, while most Canadians can look forward to a lovely stretch of crisp but mild fall weather, November is expected to remind us that winter never stays far away. Whether you’re planning hikes, harvests, or just cozy evenings with a view of the changing leaves, it’s best to enjoy this calm interlude now—because before long, the shift to winter will arrive.
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