Mississippi State Aims to Avoid Upset Against Northern Illinois
When Mississippi State lines up against Northern Illinois, there’s more at stake than just another game on the schedule. The Bulldogs are chasing their first 4-0 start since 2014, but history has reminded fans that matchups against Mid-American Conference teams can be dangerous. Just last season, MSU was stunned at home by Toledo, who rolled to a 41-17 victory. That result still lingers, and the team knows it cannot afford another slip-up.
This week’s game at Davis Wade Stadium carries that weight. Mississippi State enters with a perfect 3-0 record, while Northern Illinois comes in at 1-1. The Bulldogs are heavily favored, but the Huskies have built a reputation as a giant killer. Over the last few years, NIU has shocked power-conference programs like Notre Dame, Boston College, and Georgia Tech—all away from home. Even earlier this season, they went toe-to-toe with Maryland before falling late. That track record gives them belief that they can spoil the party in Starkville.
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On paper, Mississippi State holds the upper hand in several areas. Quarterback Blake Shapen has quickly settled in, forming strong connections with receivers Brenen Thompson and Anthony Evans III. Thompson, in particular, has been a spark, ranking near the top of the SEC in receiving yards. The Bulldogs’ cornerbacks have also been lights out. Kelley Jones, who is graded among the top in the conference, has barely allowed opposing receivers a chance to breathe. With Northern Illinois averaging only 100 passing yards per game, that defensive edge could prove critical.
Mississippi State’s offense has also made a habit of fast starts. The Bulldogs have scored touchdowns on their opening drives in all three games this season, outscoring opponents 48-3 in first quarters. That early punch has allowed them to control games before halftime, building a margin that has been nearly impossible for opponents to overcome.
But it would be a mistake to dismiss Northern Illinois. The Huskies thrive on being overlooked, and their defense has been stingy against the run, giving up only 74 rushing yards per game. That physical front could test MSU’s offensive line, especially with questions about the availability of right tackle Albert Reese IV. Injuries remain a subplot, as head coach Jeff Lebby has not provided updates on key players who missed time last week.
While Mississippi State probably won’t repeat the 63-0 dominance it showed against Alcorn State, expectations lean toward another double-digit win. The prediction? Mississippi State 38, Northern Illinois 17. The Bulldogs’ balance on offense and strength in the secondary should carry the day, but as past seasons have shown, underestimating the Huskies can be costly. This matchup will reveal whether MSU can stay focused, avoid another MAC surprise, and keep the momentum rolling toward what could be a special season.
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