Australia Braces for a Hot and Unsettled Summer
Australia is gearing up for a summer that’s expected to feel hotter, stickier, and far more unpredictable than usual, according to the Bureau of Meteorology’s new long-range forecast. The update, released today, is painting a picture of a season where much of the country will be dealing with above-average temperatures, sweaty nights, and shifting rainfall patterns that could bring everything from thunderstorms to fire risk.
Across most states and territories, warmer-than-average days are expected to be the norm. Even places that usually enjoy milder conditions, like Tasmania, are being tipped to experience unusually warm days and nights. Queensland, the southeast, and even the island state itself are facing increased chances of particularly hot daytime temperatures. And it’s not just the days—overnight warmth is expected to linger across the country, especially in northern regions, making sleep uncomfortable for many.
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Rainfall, however, tells a very different story depending on where you look. Western Australia and the inland east are looking at below-average summer rainfall, which could dry out landscapes quickly. Meanwhile, far north Queensland may see above-average rain thanks to the ongoing wet season, which already has the potential to trigger localised flooding. Severe thunderstorms are also expected to pop up well into December, adding an extra layer of unpredictability.
Because of these conditions, fire agencies are already on alert. Parts of Victoria, western and southern Western Australia, and areas of central northern NSW have been flagged as having an increased fire risk. With hot days, warm nights, and less rain in certain pockets, bushfire danger could escalate quickly.
State by state, the story stays fairly consistent: hotter days, warmer nights, and less rain for many. NSW and the ACT are preparing for both above-average temperatures and unusually warm nights, paired with reduced rainfall. Queensland will be scorching, especially at night, though rain patterns will vary across the state. Victoria is in for warm, dry weather, while WA and SA can expect heat and limited rainfall through most of the summer. Even Tasmania will be leaning warmer than normal, though rainfall odds are more balanced. And in the Northern Territory, despite the wet season, some northern and western parts may actually see below-average rainfall while staying hotter overall.
Meanwhile, Melbourne is taking a slightly different path. After the wettest spring in more than a decade, meteorologists say summer will start sluggishly. November has been unseasonably cool and drenched, bringing the kind of fast-moving weather systems that flip from hot to wet to windy in a single day. While this pattern may continue into early summer, warmer and more settled conditions are still expected to take hold as the season progresses.
All in all, Australians should brace for a summer that’s hotter, drier in many regions, and full of dramatic weather shifts—one that could test comfort levels, emergency services, and communities across the country.
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