Modi's NDA Alliance Set for Strong Victory in Bihar Elections
Supporters of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party, or BJP, are celebrating as the party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) moves toward a decisive win in the recently held Bihar state elections. Counting of votes began early in the morning, and even though results have just started to come in, the NDA is currently leading in nearly 200 of the 243 assembly seats, signaling a clear path to victory. While results could shift in a few constituencies as counting progresses, it appears unlikely that the opposition, which is ahead in fewer than 40 seats, can recover significantly.
The elections, conducted on November 6 and 11, saw Bihar recording a historic voter turnout of 66.91%, the highest since the state first went to the polls in 1951. This high turnout reflects the growing engagement of the electorate, especially female voters, who played a pivotal role in shaping the results. Nearly half of Bihar’s voters are women, and this year their participation reached an all-time high of 71.6%. Analysts suggest that welfare programs and financial assistance schemes introduced by the NDA, particularly those championed by JD(U) leader and outgoing Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, helped secure strong support from women.
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The main contest was between the BJP-JD(U) alliance and a coalition of opposition parties, including the Congress and Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD). Nitish Kumar, one of the most influential figures in Bihar politics for nearly two decades, and Lalu Prasad Yadav, RJD's veteran leader, have both shaped the political landscape of the state over decades. While Kumar has been leading the state government for years, Yadav is currently out on bail following corruption convictions, with his son Tejashwi Yadav projected as the opposition’s chief ministerial candidate.
This election also drew attention due to a controversial revision of voter rolls conducted by the Election Commission, which removed around 4.7 million names from the electoral list. The opposition claimed that genuine voters were excluded to favor the BJP, allegations that both the party and the Election Commission have denied. Adding a new dimension to the contest was the entry of Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj party, though it has not made any significant impact in the current results.
Bihar, India’s youngest state with a median age of 22 and a population exceeding 74 million voters, is also among the country’s poorest, with many residents migrating for work. Despite this, the NDA has managed to maintain strong appeal, positioning itself ahead of upcoming state elections in West Bengal, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu, where it faces tougher challenges.
In summary, the Bihar elections are being seen as a clear endorsement of Modi’s alliance, with voters appreciating the continuity of welfare schemes, the mobilization of women voters, and the leadership of established figures like Nitish Kumar. The results could have far-reaching implications for Indian politics as the country heads into another crucial election cycle.
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