Phoenix Prepares for Rainy Start to 2026
As we wrap up 2025 and ring in the New Year, Arizona is bracing for a weather change that could shake up holiday plans. A storm system, currently positioned west of San Diego, is pulling in moisture and clouds from the subtropics. While California and northwest Arizona are expected to see the heaviest rainfall, the Phoenix area isn’t being left out entirely. Light showers could begin as early as New Year’s Eve, continuing into New Year’s Day.
The chances of rain in the Valley hover around 50%, but most areas are likely to see just a quarter of an inch or less. Some northern and upsloping regions, where the desert transitions into mountains, might experience slightly higher totals. Historically, rain on New Year’s Day is rare here—records show only 18 days with rainfall on the first since the late 1800s—but memorable exceptions have occurred, like in 2023 when nearly half an inch fell at Sky Harbor.
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Along with the rain, cooler air will follow the storm, bringing highs into the upper 60s and morning lows dipping into the low to mid-50s. Breezy conditions are expected statewide, with gusts particularly strong in northern areas. Despite the moisture, snow will be confined to the highest elevations of the state—around 9,000 to 10,000 feet—so places like Flagstaff are predicted to see rain rather than snow.
Travelers and those planning outdoor New Year’s celebrations are being advised to plan ahead. ABC15 has declared Wednesday and Thursday as Weather Action Days, encouraging residents to allow extra time for commutes and to stay alert for changing conditions. The Arizona Department of Transportation also reminds anyone heading north to play in the snow to avoid parking along highways and to take proper safety precautions. Items like warm clothing, blankets, snacks, water, and emergency tools are recommended for winter travel.
Over the weekend, temperatures were closer to seasonal averages, with highs in the low 70s and gusty winds reaching up to 40 mph in the Colorado River Valley. These breezy, warm conditions are expected to persist through midweek before the storm arrives on New Year’s Eve. As the storm moves in, light rain will cover much of the state, eventually tapering off by Friday.
Residents are also reminded to follow basic flood safety: turn around if roads are flooded, move to higher ground if water rises quickly, and avoid stepping into standing water near downed power lines. Keeping tuned to local news and weather apps is encouraged to stay informed.
So, as Phoenix gears up to welcome 2026, light rain and cooler temperatures will mark the start of the year. It’s a good time to embrace a slower pace, keep an umbrella handy, and maybe plan indoor celebrations just in case Mother Nature decides to join the festivities.
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