Oaks Day 2024: Expert Insights on the Contenders at Flemington
As we approach one of the most anticipated race days of the Melbourne Cup Carnival, all eyes are on the $1 million Group 1 Oaks at Flemington. The third day of the Carnival promises high drama and fierce competition, as the fillies line up for the 2500m contest. Experts in the racing world have been weighing in with their predictions, and the verdict is divided on who will emerge victorious.
One of the standout favorites for this year’s Oaks is Treasurethe Moment , the impressive filly who recently triumphed in the prestigious Wakeful Stakes at Flemington. Trained by Matt Laurie, Treasurethe Moment has been in fantastic form, with three consecutive wins to her name. The question, however, is whether she can stretch her stamina for the extra 500m distance in the Oaks. Still, many believe her solid win over 2000m in the Wakeful Stakes shows she's more than capable of handling the challenge. A key factor in her favor is her pedigree, which contains a deep staying bloodline that could give her the extra edge needed to clinch victory.
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However, not everyone agrees that Treasurethe Moment will take out the race. Form analyst Tim Habel has his eye on Too Darn Discreet , a filly who skipped the Wakeful Stakes but shone in the Ethereal Stakes at 2000m. This could be the perfect Oaks trial, as Too Darn Discreet has proven she can stay over middle distances. Habel is particularly optimistic about her chances, especially considering her favorable barrier draw, which could help her maintain a strong position throughout the race.
While Treasurethe Moment and Too Darn Discreet are garnering most of the attention, other contenders are not to be overlooked. Harlem Queen , a strong Sydney contender, enters the Oaks with solid form from the Group 1 Champion Stakes. She may bring a fresh form line into the race, making her a serious threat to the favorites. Another one to watch is Powers of Opal , who has had consistent performances leading up to the Oaks but will need to find a few more lengths to match the front-runners.
Among the more speculative picks is Inevitable Truth , trained by John Sargent. If this filly can lead the field and make it a true test of stamina, she could surprise many and earn a place in the top finishers.
The conditions at Flemington on Oaks Day will also play a role in the race. With a good track and cooler weather expected, the surface is likely to be fair for all runners, despite the rail being moved out five meters. This could present a slight advantage to those running on the outside, but overall, the track conditions are expected to suit a variety of racing styles.
As we prepare for another thrilling day of racing, the field for the Oaks remains wide open. Whether Treasurethe Moment can extend her winning streak, or if Too Darn Discreet can capitalize on her fresh form, we’ll soon know. One thing is for certain: Oaks Day 2024 at Flemington will be a race to remember, and the experts are split on who will come out on top.
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