
Nicolas Jarry Set to Face Juan Manuel Cerundolo at Rio Open 2025
Alright, let’s talk about an exciting match coming up at the Rio Open 2025 — Nicolas Jarry vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo . This match is set for Monday, February 17 , at the Jockey Club Brasileiro in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil , and it’s shaping up to be an interesting battle on clay courts .
Now, if you look at the rankings, Jarry is currently sitting at No. 47 in the world , while Cerundolo is at No. 127 . That difference in ranking alone gives Jarry the edge, and the odds reflect that too. According to the betting lines, Jarry is favored at -200 , which means he has a 66.7% implied chance of winning. Meanwhile, Cerundolo, who’s listed at +154 , has a 39.4% chance based on the odds.
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But let’s break it down a little more. Jarry hasn’t had the best start to 2025 , with a 0-2 match record and just 1-5 in sets so far this year. On the other hand, Cerundolo has won three of his five matches in 2025 and has a 5-6 set record . That might make things a bit more competitive than the odds suggest.
One big factor in this match? Jarry’s powerful serve. He’s averaging 11.5 aces per match , compared to just 1.2 from Cerundolo . That kind of serving power can be a huge advantage on clay, helping Jarry dictate points from the start. However, the key for Cerundolo will be his ability to return well and extend rallies . If he can neutralize Jarry’s serve and force long exchanges, he might have a shot at pulling off an upset.
Another important stat— break points. Jarry has only won 2 break points this season , compared to 13 for Cerundolo . If Jarry struggles to convert opportunities, Cerundolo could capitalize on those crucial moments.
Looking at the bigger picture , both players are also aiming to make a deep run in this tournament. The Rio Open is a significant event on the ATP Tour , especially for players looking to gain momentum early in the season. Jarry’s odds to win the entire tournament are listed at +1600 , meaning he’s considered an outside contender. Cerundolo, on the other hand, is a much bigger longshot at +5000 .
So, what’s the bottom line? Jarry is the favorite , and if he serves well, he should be able to take control of the match. But Cerundolo has been playing better this season , and if he can handle the pressure and make Jarry work, we might see a much closer match than expected.
Either way, it’s going to be a great battle on the clay courts of Rio de Janeiro . Let’s see how it all unfolds!
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