
Simcoe County Braces for More School Bus Cancellations Amid Intense Snow Squalls
Southern Ontario is gearing up for yet another round of brutal winter weather, and for some students, that could mean an extra, extra long weekend. The lake effect snow machine is kicking into high gear late Sunday into Monday, bringing heavy snow squalls to areas around Lake Huron and Georgian Bay. This could lead to widespread school bus cancellations, particularly in regions like Simcoe County, Muskoka, and the Bruce Peninsula.
For students in these areas, the prospect of a third straight snow day is becoming more likely. After buses were already canceled on Thursday and Friday, Monday could follow suit as Environment Canada has issued several snow squall watches and warnings. Some areas are expected to receive between 20 and 50 cm of snowfall, with strong winds creating near-whiteout conditions on the roads. With visibility severely reduced and road conditions deteriorating rapidly, school bus operations in these regions will likely be impacted.
The hardest-hit areas will likely be in the Bruce Peninsula, where the chances of school bus cancellations are nearly certain. In Simcoe County, cancellations are highly likely, but it all depends on where the heaviest snow squalls set up. Some parts of the county could get buried under a significant snowfall, while others may see less accumulation, potentially causing varying cancellation decisions across different school zones. Muskoka and the Kawartha Lakes are also under snow squall watches, meaning there’s still a possibility of bus cancellations, depending on how the system evolves overnight.
Outside the snowbelt regions, Southern Ontario should remain relatively unaffected. School bus cancellations are not expected in areas beyond the direct impact of the lake effect snow.
For parents and students wondering about their specific region, here’s a breakdown of the likelihood of school bus cancellations:
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- Almost Certain (90–99% Chance): Bruce Peninsula (Bluewater District School Board)
- Likely (75–90% Chance): Owen Sound, Meaford (Bluewater District), West & North Simcoe County
- Possible (50–75% Chance): Southampton, Kincardine, Hanover (Bluewater District), Central Simcoe County, South Muskoka
- Maybe (25–50% Chance): South Simcoe County, North Muskoka, Parry Sound
- Unlikely (10–25% Chance): Goderich, Dufferin, Durham, East Parry Sound
It’s important to note that these forecasts are based on weather predictions and do not guarantee cancellations. The final call always rests with school boards, transportation services, and local authorities. Parents should keep an eye on official announcements early Monday morning before making any decisions about sending their kids to school.
For now, students in Simcoe County and other snowbelt regions should prepare for the possibility of another unexpected day off. With the snow machine in full effect, it looks like winter isn’t letting up anytime soon. Stay safe, stay warm, and keep an eye on the latest weather updates!
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