Poland on the Edge: Awaiting Final Results of the 2025 Presidential Election
As I speak, the political atmosphere in Poland is absolutely electrifying. We’re standing at the very edge of one of the most consequential moments in the country’s democratic history — the final stage of the 2025 presidential election. Last night, the second round of voting concluded, and citizens across Poland made their voices heard. The choice was stark: Rafał Trzaskowski from the Civic Coalition versus Karol Nawrocki, backed by the ruling Law and Justice party (PiS). And the nation is holding its breath.
Preliminary data is coming in fast and furiously, painting a picture of a tightly contested race. According to the late poll conducted by Ipsos for major Polish media outlets, Karol Nawrocki is slightly ahead with 51% of the vote. This data includes results from 90% of voting commissions. That’s close — razor-thin, really — and although he appears to have the lead, nothing is final until the official announcement from the National Electoral Commission (PKW).
Throughout the night, we’ve seen a patchwork of results from cities and regions across Poland. In many of the major urban centers like Wrocław, Gdańsk, and Katowice, Trzaskowski has taken a commanding lead, in some places winning over 60% of the vote. In contrast, Nawrocki showed dominance in smaller towns and more conservative regions, such as Radom and parts of eastern Poland.
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Interestingly, some locations had dramatically split outcomes. In Lublin, for example, Trzaskowski won with 51.14%, while Nawrocki led slightly in Rzeszów with 51.66%. Cities like Bydgoszcz, Toruń, and Szczecin leaned heavily toward Trzaskowski, while Nawrocki maintained strength in traditional PiS bastions.
Even the late-night commentary is intense. Former president Aleksander Kwaśniewski remarked that many of Nawrocki’s supporters voted more out of loyalty to PiS than a critical evaluation of the candidate himself — underlining how polarized and emotional this election cycle has been.
But here’s the most crucial part: over 99% of the commissions have already been counted, and Karol Nawrocki has secured more than 10.4 million votes — even surpassing the total received by Andrzej Duda in the 2020 election. It’s a historic turnout and a testament to how engaged and motivated the electorate is.
We're still awaiting the final, official results. It could go either way — the margins are just that tight. But one thing is certain: this election has awakened civic energy like few others in recent memory. Whether the new president is Trzaskowski or Nawrocki, they will inherit a country deeply divided but equally committed to the democratic process.
It’s a thrilling moment, not just for Poland but for anyone watching democracy in action. We’ll keep watching, and soon, we’ll know who will take up the mantle of leadership for the next five years.
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