Trzaskowski Leads by a Hair: Poland Awaits Historic Election Verdict
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So, the tension is absolutely electric tonight in Poland. We’re in the midst of one of the most nail-biting presidential election run-offs in the country’s history. According to the latest exit poll results released right after voting stations closed , Rafał Trzaskowski holds a slim and uncertain lead over his rival Karol Nawrocki. The poll, conducted by Ipsos for major broadcasters like TVP, TVN, and Polsat, shows Trzaskowski with 50.3% of the vote, just a fraction ahead of Nawrocki’s 49.7% . But here’s the kicker — the margin of error is ±2 percentage points. That means anything can still happen .
In Trzaskowski’s campaign headquarters, the mood was a mix of celebration and sheer disbelief. Supporters chanted, “Rafał, Rafał!” and the candidate himself took the stage, visibly emotional. “We’ve won!” he declared, before quickly acknowledging how close the results are. In a particularly touching moment, he asked the crowd to cheer for his wife, Małgorzata, calling her the future First Lady. She herself admitted how emotionally intense this moment is, saying she felt “close to a heart attack” from the tension.
But Trzaskowski didn’t stop at celebration. He made a point of unity: “I swear to be the president of all Poles, including those who didn’t vote for me.” He emphasized that his mission is to restore calm, respectful dialogue in Polish politics. That’s a message aimed at healing, at reconciling a deeply divided society.
On the other side, Karol Nawrocki didn’t back down for a second. His response? Defiant and full of conviction. “We’ll win these elections tonight,” he told his supporters. He urged them to stay hopeful, stressing how slim the margin truly is. PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński echoed this optimism, asserting, “We will win because we speak the truth about Poland.”
Exit polls are one thing, but we’re still waiting on the late poll results , which use more actual data from precincts and tend to be more accurate. The first late poll results are expected around 11 PM , and by 1 AM we might see figures from 90% of voting stations. Official results from the National Electoral Commission (PKW) are expected shortly after, likely by Monday morning.
And here’s another big headline — voter turnout reached a stunning 72.8% . That’s near-record-breaking and reflects how seriously Polish citizens took this election. For reference, the highest ever was 74.3% during the 2023 parliamentary elections, and this year’s presidential turnout is already setting a new bar for civic engagement.
Whatever the final result, one thing’s for sure — we’re witnessing a watershed moment in Polish democracy. Whether it’s Trzaskowski or Nawrocki who ends up victorious, this election has galvanized a nation and brought out the very best and most passionate in civic participation. All eyes are now on the PKW and the final count. Poland, hold your breath — this night isn’t over yet.
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