Brandon Nakashima Favored in US Open Clash with Jesper de Jong
The US Open is here, and one of the opening matches drawing attention features Brandon Nakashima taking on Jesper de Jong in the Round of 128. The match is set for Sunday, August 24, and oddsmakers have already made their stance clear—Nakashima comes in as the favorite.
Going into this contest, Nakashima is ranked 31st in the world while de Jong holds the 83rd spot. Sportsbooks have Nakashima listed at -325, which translates to about a 76.5% implied chance of victory. De Jong, meanwhile, comes in at +240, making him the underdog in this battle.
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Now, looking at recent form and stats, Nakashima has been fairly steady on hard courts this year, posting a 14-10 record. His serve has been a strong weapon, winning nearly 80% of his service games on the surface. However, his return game tells a different story, with just over 22% of games won on the opponent’s serve. That said, he has managed to convert about a third of his break points, which keeps him competitive in tight matches. His most recent outing came at the Western & Southern Open, where he pushed Alexander Zverev but ultimately fell in straight sets, 4-6, 4-6.
On the other side, de Jong, at 25 years old, is still carving his path on the hard court circuit. He has just six wins and two losses on hard courts this year, but none of those victories have translated into a title run. His serve is solid—winning just about the same percentage of service games as Nakashima—but his return game has been slightly sharper, with close to 30% of return games won. Still, when it comes to break point conversion, he sits much lower in the rankings, turning only about one in three chances. His last tournament appearance ended in the quarterfinals of the Croatia Open, where he was beaten by Carlos Taberner in straight sets.
So, when breaking it down, Nakashima is the player expected to advance. His consistency on hard courts and higher ranking give him the edge. De Jong, however, is not to be completely overlooked. As an underdog, he could cause problems if he can pressure Nakashima’s weaker return games and take advantage of any lapses in focus.
For fans watching, this is not just a battle of rankings and odds but also a clash of playing styles and momentum. Nakashima’s ability to dominate on serve may prove decisive, while de Jong’s hunger for a breakthrough win could add intrigue. Either way, the stage is set for a competitive matchup to kick off their US Open campaigns.
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