Sumudaerji vs. Kevin Borjas – Betting Odds and Fight Breakdown
This weekend’s UFC Fight Night has fans buzzing about a flyweight showdown between Sumudaerji and Kevin Borjas. Both fighters are coming in with something to prove. Each man recently bounced back with a win after dropping two straight fights, so momentum is on the line here, and the stakes feel high for both.
Now, when looking at this matchup, some clear differences immediately stand out. Sumudaerji walks into the octagon with noticeable physical advantages. He’s three inches taller than Borjas, measuring 5-foot-8 compared to 5-foot-5, and he also has a four-inch edge in reach. Those numbers may not sound massive, but in a weight class where speed and distance control are critical, that kind of range can make a real difference.
Also Read:From a striking perspective, Borjas has proven to be aggressive and busy with his output. On paper, he actually lands more significant strikes per minute than his opponent. But activity doesn’t always equal accuracy. Sumudaerji has been the cleaner, sharper striker statistically, connecting on 51% of his significant strikes compared to Borjas at 44%. Beyond landing shots, defense matters, too—and that’s where the Peruvian fighter shows a weakness. Borjas has been absorbing nearly six significant strikes per minute, which suggests he leaves himself open far too often against skilled opponents.
Oddsmakers at DraftKings have taken note of these trends. Sumudaerji opened as the favorite at -170, while Borjas comes in as the underdog at +150. The betting line reflects what analysts see: if Sumudaerji can keep Borjas at a distance and dictate the pace of the fight, his accuracy and size advantage should carry him toward victory. The danger for Borjas is that he may need to crash the pocket and force exchanges just to level the playing field—but that comes with risks against a more precise striker.
Of course, nothing in MMA is guaranteed. Borjas has shown grit and the ability to adjust in past performances. His higher output could overwhelm if Sumudaerji slows down or makes mistakes defensively. But based on styles and stats, this looks like an uphill battle for him.
So, what fans should expect is a classic clash of styles: Borjas trying to close the gap with pressure and volume, while Sumudaerji looks to use his length and sharp striking to control the fight from range. If he executes, his path to back-to-back wins is right there. But if Borjas can withstand the early shots and turn this into a brawl, the underdog could steal the spotlight.
Either way, it’s set to be a fight worth tuning in for—a matchup where skill, size, and strategy will collide inside the UFC cage.
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