Bears 2025 Season Predictions: Optimism Meets Caution
The Chicago Bears are stepping into the 2025 NFL season with something they haven’t had in a long time—real optimism. After last year’s disastrous 5-12 finish, which included a brutal 10-game losing streak and ultimately cost Matt Eberflus his job, the Bears are hoping this year feels like a turning point. The franchise has a fresh face at head coach with Ben Johnson, who is widely respected as one of the league’s best offensive minds, and they’ve paired him with second-year quarterback Caleb Williams, who endured a rough but valuable rookie season.
This offseason was all about giving Williams the support he didn’t have in 2024. The offensive line has been rebuilt, highlighted by veteran additions like Joe Thuney and Jonah Jackson, and the pass-catching group looks stacked with DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet, and rookies Luther Burden III and Colston Loveland. Williams also has veteran backup Case Keenum in the quarterback room, which should help him refine his approach as he adjusts to Johnson’s system.
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Defensively, there are some familiar cornerstones. Jaylon Johnson returns at corner, and Montez Sweat leads the pass rush. But questions remain about whether Chicago can consistently pressure opposing quarterbacks. Last year’s defensive ends combined for just 8.5 sacks, and the hope is that Johnson’s staff—and defensive coordinator Dennis Allen—can get more out of this group.
Now, when it comes to expectations, the experts are split. Some are buying into the hype. Adam Rank of NFL Media predicts an 11-6 record, believing Johnson and Williams can spark immediate success. Moe Moton from Bleacher Report is also optimistic, projecting 10-7 and a playoff push. Others, though, are much more cautious. Conor Orr of Sports Illustrated, Nate Davis of USA Today, and Dan Wiederer of The Athletic all see Chicago finishing 7-10, pointing to the brutal schedule and the difficulty of relying on a young quarterback behind an offensive line still coming together.
And that schedule is no joke. Six of the Bears’ final eight games are against playoff teams from last year. They’ll face the Ravens, Bengals, Eagles, Packers, and more in what looks like a gauntlet stretch. That’s why analysts like Matt Johnson of Sportsnaut believe this season could mirror the Lions’ 2022 campaign—starting slow while adjusting to a new system, then finishing strong once everything clicks.
So where does that leave us? The truth is, this team is clearly better on paper than it was a year ago. The offensive line is more experienced, the depth chart is stronger, and the coaching staff is brand new. But Bears fans have heard this before, and until proven otherwise, there’s a healthy dose of skepticism. If Caleb Williams makes the leap and Johnson delivers on his reputation, Chicago could very well surprise people. If not, it may take another season before the Bears truly break through. Either way, 2025 feels like the beginning of something new—and that’s more than Bears fans could say last year.
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