Russia Signals Escalation by Moving Nuclear-Capable Missiles Into Belarus
Right now, one of the most worrying developments in the Russia-Ukraine war is Russia’s claim that it has deployed a new nuclear-capable missile system inside Belarus. According to Moscow, its latest weapon, known as the Oreshnik missile, has now entered active service just across Ukraine’s northern border, a move that immediately raised alarm across Europe.
Footage released by Russia’s defence ministry showed large missile vehicles moving through snow-covered forests, with soldiers camouflaging equipment and setting up at what appeared to be a military base in eastern Belarus. The images looked carefully staged, and many analysts believe they were meant to send a message, not just to Ukraine, but to NATO and European capitals. If the deployment is real, the time it would take for a Russian missile to reach parts of Europe would be reduced, at least symbolically, adding to already intense tensions.
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Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko has said that up to 10 of these Oreshnik systems will be stationed in his country. Russian President Vladimir Putin confirmed that the missiles had entered active service during a meeting with senior military commanders, where he also repeated his intention to seize more Ukrainian territory, including the strategic southern city of Zaporizhzhia.
This announcement came just a day after the Kremlin accused Ukraine of launching a massive drone attack on what it claimed was Vladimir Putin’s residence in the Novgorod region. Russian officials warned of “reprisals” against Kyiv, saying targets had already been selected. However, no evidence was provided to support the claim. The Kremlin later said all drones had been shot down and that no proof would be shown. Local residents reported hearing no explosions, and no videos or images of damage surfaced online, which is unusual for confirmed attacks.
Ukraine strongly rejected the accusation. Its foreign minister described the story as completely fabricated and urged other countries not to react to what he called Russian manipulation. Ukrainian officials argued that the claims were designed to distract from growing diplomatic efforts aimed at ending the war and to justify further escalation.
All of this is unfolding at a delicate moment in international diplomacy. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recently held lengthy talks with US President Donald Trump, where a possible peace framework was discussed, including post-war security guarantees for Ukraine. While some progress was hinted at, major disagreements remain, especially over occupied territories that Russia insists must be handed over.
Against this backdrop, the missile deployment into Belarus is widely seen as a pressure tactic. It reinforces Russia’s nuclear messaging at a time when negotiations are fragile, trust is low, and the risk of miscalculation feels higher than ever.
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