Wolves Favored at Home as Grizzlies Look to Hang Tough in Minneapolis
So let’s talk about this Grizzlies versus Timberwolves matchup, because there’s a lot more going on here than just a regular midweek NBA game. On paper, it looks like a straightforward home favorite situation, but once you dig in, the story becomes a lot more layered.
Minnesota is coming into this game feeling pretty good about where it stands. The Timberwolves are 17–9 on the season and have quietly been one of the more consistent teams in the Western Conference. Even more impressive is the fact that they’ve won back-to-back games without their star, Anthony Edwards, who is dealing with a foot issue and is listed as questionable. That alone says a lot about their depth. When Edwards has been sidelined, scoring has been spread around, the defense has stayed disciplined, and the rebounding edge—especially with Rudy Gobert in the middle—has continued to show up.
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On the other side, Memphis has been fighting through a season full of obstacles. The Grizzlies are sitting at 12–14, but their recent form has been encouraging. They’ve gone 7–3 over their last ten games, and a strong road win against the Clippers earlier in the week showed that this team can still compete when things click. That said, health remains a major concern. Ja Morant is once again listed as questionable, and starting center Zach Edey is out, which leaves a noticeable hole in the frontcourt. Several rotation players are also unavailable, making consistency hard to come by.
Because of all that, Minnesota has been installed as a solid home favorite, hovering around an 8 to 9-point spread. Oddsmakers clearly expect the Timberwolves to control this one, especially at the Target Center, where they’ve been strong overall. Still, it’s worth noting that Minnesota hasn’t always been dominant against the spread at home, and many of their games have stayed closer than expected deep into the fourth quarter.
One interesting angle here is the pace and total. With injuries on both sides and some uncertainty around Edwards and Morant, this game is expected to lean more toward defense than fireworks. Minnesota has shown it can win by grinding teams down, while Memphis has relied on forcing turnovers and scoring in the paint rather than getting into shootouts. Because of that, the under on the total has been getting a lot of attention.
In the end, Minnesota is rightly viewed as the better team, especially if Edwards is able to suit up. But Memphis has been resilient, even while shorthanded, and there’s a strong case that the Grizzlies can keep this game competitive. Don’t be surprised if it turns into a tight, physical contest where the outcome isn’t fully decided until the final few minutes.
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