MLB DFS Outlook for April 20: Sunday’s Slate Breakdown and Betting Angles
Alright, baseball fans and DFS grinders — let’s get into this jam-packed Sunday slate for April 20th! It’s a full day of action across the MLB, and there’s a lot to unpack if you’re building lineups on DraftKings or FanDuel, or just eyeing the odds and player props for some betting value. From high-caliber arms to juicy offense spots, there’s a little something for everyone.
Let’s start at the top — the Boston Red Sox are in a smash spot today, hosting the struggling Chicago White Sox and throwing Tanner Houck on the mound. The Sox are heavily favored at -270 with a team total pushing near 6 runs. Sean Burke will take the hill for the White Sox and is bringing in a worrisome 8.84 expected ERA. This could be a DFS goldmine, especially for Red Sox bats like Rafael Devers and Masataka Yoshida.
Another team worth noting? The Phillies. Jesus Luzardo is on the mound, and the Marlins have their hands full. Philadelphia is also expected to push over 5 runs today, facing Connor Gillispie. Luzardo himself has a ridiculous 2.56 xERA and a 24% strikeout rate — he’s a rock-solid SP1 play on any site.
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Then there's Joe Ryan versus Grant Holmes — Twins vs Braves. While Atlanta’s offense is always dangerous, Ryan’s xERA sits nicely at 3.20 and he’s been fanning batters at a 27% clip. Could be a sneaky GPP pitcher play there, especially with Braves bats striking out more often than not this season.
One game that’s totally flying under the radar? The Rockies and Nationals at Coors Field. The total is set at a hefty 9.5 runs and both pitchers — Jake Irvin and Kyle Freeland — have struggled with expected stats north of 4.00 xERA. That’s a fireworks alert right there. If you're stacking, this might be the game.
As for the late-night hammer, we’ve got Dylan Cease taking on Framber Valdez in what’s expected to be a tight one between the Padres and Astros. Both pitchers are quality, and Vegas agrees with a low 7.5 total. Cease might actually have the higher ceiling here with a 29% K-rate, but Valdez and that elite 60% ground ball rate should keep Houston in control.
Keep an eye on standout hitters like Steven Kwan, Jose Ramirez, and Devers, who are all in solid spots from both a splits and matchup standpoint. And if you’re digging deeper, look at some Mariners righties vs. Easton Lucas and those sneaky Yankees bats against Ryan Pepiot.
Whether you’re stacking for DFS or sprinkling some prop bets on the side, today is loaded with opportunity. Be sure to leverage tools like PlateIQ and stay on top of any lineup news or weather updates — Sunday slates always throw curveballs, pun intended.
Let’s get after it and make this Sunday a profitable one. Play smart, stay sharp, and good luck out there!
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